Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| Spread -0.5 | 92% |
| Spread -2.5 | 89% |
| Spread -3.5 | 85% |
| Spread -4.5 | 83% |
| Spread -5.5 | 82% |
| O/U 35.5 | 81% |
| Temple O/U 23.5 | 81% |
| Spread -6.5 | 80% |
| O/U 37.5 | 76% |
| Spread -7.5 | 75% |
| Spread -8.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 71% |
| Spread -10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 41.5 | 67% |
| Spread -11.5 | 67% |
| Spread -13.5 | 64% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| Spread -14.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 60% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| Spread -15.5 | 57% |
| Spread -16.5 | 56% |
| O/U 45.5 | 55% |
| Spread -32.5 | 55% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 54% |
| Spread -17.5 | 52% |
| Spread -36.5 | 52% |
| O/U 47.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Temple O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Temple 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Temple 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Temple 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Temple 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Temple Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Temple Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -39.5 | 50% |
| Spread -42.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Temple O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -19.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 45% |
| Spread -20.5 | 44% |
| O/U 49.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 41% |
| Temple O/U 35.5 | 40% |
| Spread -21.5 | 39% |
| O/U 51.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| Spread -22.5 | 38% |
| Spread -23.5 | 37% |
| O/U 53.5 | 35% |
| Spread -24.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 30% |
| Spread -25.5 | 29% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| Spread -26.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -27.5 | 26% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Charlotte O/U 20.5 | 24% |
| Spread -29.5 | 23% |
| Spread -28.5 | 22% |
| O/U 59.5 | 21% |
| Spread -30.5 | 21% |
| O/U 61.5 | 18% |
| Charlotte O/U 23.5 | 16% |
| 1H Moneyline | 16% |
| O/U 63.5 | 14% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -35.5 | 11% |
| O/U 67.5 | 10% |
| Charlotte vs. Temple | 9% |
| Spread -0.5 | 9% |
| Spread -38.5 | 8% |
| O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 5% |
| O/U 73.5 | 4% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 93% Chance für prognose: charlotte vs. temple. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming college football game between Charlotte and Temple, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Charlotte" if Charlotte win the game. This m…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $164K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Charlotte vs. Temple" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →