Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| LSU O/U 23.5 | 96% |
| Spread -0.5 | 95% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| Spread -3.5 | 94% |
| Spread -4.5 | 94% |
| Spread -5.5 | 93% |
| Spread -6.5 | 92% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 92% |
| O/U 35.5 | 91% |
| O/U 37.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 90% |
| Spread -8.5 | 90% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 90% |
| O/U 39.5 | 89% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 89% |
| Spread -10.5 | 87% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 87% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 86% |
| Spread -12.5 | 85% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 85% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 85% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 84% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 84% |
| Spread -13.5 | 83% |
| O/U 41.5 | 82% |
| O/U 43.5 | 82% |
| Spread -14.5 | 80% |
| Spread -16.5 | 76% |
| O/U 45.5 | 76% |
| Spread -17.5 | 75% |
| O/U 47.5 | 70% |
| LSU O/U 35.5 | 69% |
| Spread -20.5 | 67% |
| LSU 1H O/U 16.5 | 67% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| O/U 49.5 | 66% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| O/U 51.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 60% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 57% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 51% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| LSU 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Mississippi State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LSU O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 49% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 47% |
| O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 45% |
| O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| O/U 61.5 | 35% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Mississippi State O/U 20.5 | 27% |
| O/U 65.5 | 23% |
| O/U 67.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| Mississippi State O/U 23.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| O/U 71.5 | 13% |
| O/U 73.5 | 12% |
| O/U 75.5 | 9% |
| Mississippi State vs. LSU | 5% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -1.5 | 3% |
| Spread -6.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 2% |
| Spread -4.5 | 2% |
| Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Mississippi State vs. LSU — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 96%. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and LSU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. This…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $836K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Wir tracken Prognose: Mississippi State vs. LSU auf den fünf Plattformen mit substanzieller Prediction-Market-Liquidität. Die angezeigte Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Live-Mid; die Vergleichszeilen zeigen, wie jede Plattform den zugrundeliegenden Vertrag handhabt — Gebühren, KYC, Settlement, Einzahlungsmethoden. Die hervorgehobene Zeile markiert die günstigste Route in Polymarkets Orderbuch.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Mississippi State vs. LSU" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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