Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
78% | 22% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
78% | 22% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| O/U 37.5 | 75% |
| O/U 39.5 | 69% |
| New Mexico State O/U 20.5 | 65% |
| O/U 41.5 | 62% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 61% |
| Spread -0.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 58% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston | 57% |
| O/U 43.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| New Mexico State O/U 23.5 | 55% |
| O/U 45.5 | 54% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.5 | 54% |
| 1H Moneyline | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sam Houston Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| O/U 47.5 | 48% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 45% |
| New Mexico State O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 44% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Sam Houston O/U 23.5 | 43% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| O/U 49.5 | 42% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 38% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Sam Houston O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| O/U 51.5 | 36% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| O/U 53.5 | 33% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 31% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 30% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| O/U 55.5 | 28% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Sam Houston O/U 35.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston 1H O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 27% |
| New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Sam Houston Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 27% |
| Spread -10.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 25% |
| O/U 57.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Sam Houston O/U 26.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| O/U 61.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -20.5 | 17% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| O/U 63.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| O/U 65.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| O/U 67.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 6% |
| O/U 73.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 78% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston. In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico State and Sam Houston, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico State" if New Mexico State win the game. …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $151K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: New Mexico State vs. Sam Houston" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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