Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
81% | 19% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
81% | 19% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots | 81% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots | 80% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots | 80% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots | 75% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target | 73% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots | 61% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists | 60% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots | 59% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots | 55% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | 53% |
| Egil Selvik: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Yahia Fofana: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Egil Selvik: 3+ saves | 49% |
| Egil Selvik: 4+ saves | 49% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots on target | 49% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots on target | 49% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots | 46% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots | 45% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots | 44% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target | 44% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots | 44% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots | 44% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots | 44% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots | 42% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals + assists | 41% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots | 38% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots | 38% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals + assists | 38% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ shots | 35% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots on target | 35% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals + assists | 35% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals + assists | 35% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals + assists | 34% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots | 33% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ shots | 32% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ shots | 32% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ shots | 32% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ shots | 32% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals + assists | 31% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals + assists | 31% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ shots | 30% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals + assists | 30% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals + assists | 29% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots | 29% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals + assists | 28% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals + assists | 28% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ shots on target | 28% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals + assists | 27% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 4+ shots | 27% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals + assists | 27% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals | 26% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals + assists | 26% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ shots | 26% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals + assists | 25% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals + assists | 25% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals + assists | 25% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ shots | 24% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ shots | 24% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ shots | 23% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ shots | 23% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goals + assists | 22% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ shots | 22% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ shots | 22% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ shots | 21% |
| Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target | 21% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals + assists | 20% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ shots | 20% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ goals | 19% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 4+ shots | 19% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ shots | 18% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assists | 18% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals + assists | 18% |
| Amad Diallo: 5+ shots | 18% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goals | 17% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals | 17% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ shots | 17% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ assists | 17% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target | 17% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ shots | 17% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ shots | 16% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ shots | 15% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals | 14% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ shots | 14% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 5+ shots | 14% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ assists | 14% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 1+ assists | 14% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 5+ shots | 14% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Elye Wahi: 4+ shots | 12% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ shots on target | 12% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 5+ shots | 12% |
| Antonio Nusa: 5+ shots | 11% |
| Jens Hauge: 5+ shots | 11% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Antonio Nusa: 4+ goals + assists | 9% |
| Amad Diallo: 1+ assists | 9% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ goals | 8% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ goals | 8% |
| Oumar Diakité: 3+ goals | 8% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 5+ shots | 8% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 4+ shots | 8% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Egil Selvik: 5+ saves | 7% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ shots | 6% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 5+ shots | 6% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 4+ shots | 6% |
| Erling Haaland: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Evann Guessand: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Oscar Bobb: 1+ goals | 5% |
| Oscar Bobb: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals | 5% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Elye Wahi: 5+ shots | 5% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 4+ shots | 5% |
| Oscar Bobb: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals + assists | 5% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ assists | 5% |
| Evann Guessand: 5+ shots | 5% |
| Oumar Diakité: 5+ shots | 5% |
| Evann Guessand: 1+ assists | 5% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goals | 4% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goals | 4% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 5+ shots | 4% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ shots | 4% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Oumar Diakité: 1+ assists | 4% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Elye Wahi: 3+ goals | 3% |
| Jens Hauge: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Andreas Schjelderup: 3+ goals | 3% |
| Elye Wahi: 1+ assists | 3% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Jens Hauge: 1+ assists | 3% |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen: 1+ assists | 3% |
| Evann Guessand: 4+ goals + assists | 3% |
| Oumar Diakité: 4+ goals + assists | 3% |
| Amad Diallo: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Elye Wahi: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Evann Guessand: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Jens Hauge: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Oumar Diakité: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Jens Hauge: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Oscar Bobb: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Erling Haaland: 2+ assists | 2% |
| Amad Diallo: 4+ goals + assists | 2% |
| Alexander Sørloth: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Amad Diallo: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Antonio Nusa: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Nicolas Pépé: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Thelo Aasgaard: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Antonio Nusa: 3+ goals | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 81% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30 at 1:00 PM ET.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Player Props" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →