Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H Moneyline | 96% |
| Utah vs. Colorado | 94% |
| Spread -1.5 | 93% |
| Spread -0.5 | 93% |
| Spread -2.5 | 92% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 91% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 89% |
| Spread -3.5 | 89% |
| Utah O/U 20.5 | 89% |
| Spread -4.5 | 88% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 86% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 84% |
| Spread -7.5 | 81% |
| Spread -9.5 | 81% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 81% |
| Spread -10.5 | 80% |
| Utah O/U 23.5 | 80% |
| Spread -11.5 | 77% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 76% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 74% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| Spread -12.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| Spread -13.5 | 69% |
| Spread -8.5 | 68% |
| O/U 35.5 | 68% |
| Spread -16.5 | 65% |
| Utah O/U 26.5 | 65% |
| Utah O/U 29.5 | 65% |
| Spread -14.5 | 61% |
| Spread -15.5 | 60% |
| O/U 37.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| Spread -17.5 | 55% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 54% |
| Spread -20.5 | 52% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 51% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 51% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| Spread -19.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Colorado: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Utah O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 49% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 49% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Spread -21.5 | 46% |
| O/U 41.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Spread -18.5 | 42% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| Spread -22.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| Utah O/U 32.5 | 39% |
| Spread -23.5 | 37% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| Spread -24.5 | 31% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 30% |
| Spread -29.5 | 29% |
| O/U 47.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Spread -26.5 | 27% |
| O/U 55.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| O/U 51.5 | 23% |
| O/U 57.5 | 23% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 23% |
| O/U 49.5 | 22% |
| Spread -32.5 | 22% |
| O/U 61.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -30.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| O/U 69.5 | 19% |
| O/U 73.5 | 19% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| O/U 53.5 | 17% |
| Spread -33.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Colorado O/U 23.5 | 10% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 7% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| Spread -2.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 6% |
| Spread -3.5 | 5% |
| O/U 65.5 | 5% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| Spread -4.5 | 4% |
| Spread -5.5 | 4% |
| O/U 71.5 | 4% |
| Spread -6.5 | 3% |
| Spread -7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Utah vs. Colorado. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 91% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-18T02:15:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $231K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Utah vs. Colorado" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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