Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| O/U 26.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 91% |
| Vikings O/U 10.5 | 89% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 30.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 78% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| O/U 34.5 | 75% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 6.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 72% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 70% |
| O/U 36.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 65% |
| O/U 38.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 59% |
| O/U 40.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 54% |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers | 53% |
| O/U 41.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Vikings O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 13.5 | 52% |
| Vikings O/U 16.5 | 52% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Vikings by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Vikings Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Vikings Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vikings O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Vikings 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Vikings O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 48% |
| Spread -0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 43.5 | 46% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 10.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| O/U 44.5 | 43% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| O/U 46.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 13.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 33% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 32% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 50.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| O/U 52.5 | 23% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -9.5 | 22% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 22% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Spread -8.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 20% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 20% |
| Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| O/U 54.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| O/U 56.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Vikings 1H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 9% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| O/U 60.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Vikings vs. Buccaneers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 53% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-27T20:05:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $153K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Vikings vs. Buccaneers über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wetten Prognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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