Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 79% |
| O/U 212.5 | 73% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| O/U 215.5 | 68% |
| O/U 218.5 | 62% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| O/U 220.5 | 56% |
| O/U 221.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 222.5 | 53% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 223.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sam Hauser: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Brunson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jayson Tatum: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Hart: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mikal Bridges: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| OG Anunoby: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Paul George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick White: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 224.5 | 47% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 225.5 | 46% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | 45% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| O/U 226.5 | 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -4.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 40% |
| Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| O/U 228.5 | 39% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 231.5 | 34% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 25.5 | 33% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5 | 33% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 33% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 26.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 31% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Sam Hauser: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 11.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| O/U 234.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Paul George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 26% |
| Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 39.5 | 25% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 25% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 23% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Neemias Queta: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Sam Hauser: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Jayson Tatum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 16% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Josh Hart: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Mikal Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Paul George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 34.5 | 12% |
| Paul George: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Derrick White: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Mitchell Robinson: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Derrick White: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Paul George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Payton Pritchard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Derrick White: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| OG Anunoby: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Josh Hart: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Brunson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
Markt-Kontext
Knicks vs. Celtics. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 45% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-23T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $77K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wetten Prognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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