Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| O/U 42.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 49ers O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| 49ers O/U 16.5 | 73% |
| 49ers O/U 19.5 | 72% |
| O/U 46.5 | 67% |
| O/U 48.5 | 66% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 63% |
| Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -4.5 | 59% |
| Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 58% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| O/U 50.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 49ers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: 49ers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| 49ers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 49ers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 49% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| 49ers 2H O/U 20.5 | 43% |
| 49ers vs. Falcons: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 49ers O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| 49ers O/U 26.5 | 28% |
| O/U 54.5 | 27% |
| 49ers vs. Falcons | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| 49ers O/U 27.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 12% |
| O/U 58.5 | 9% |
| Spread -9.5 | 8% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| O/U 60.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 3% |
| Spread -4.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| O/U 62.5 | 2% |
| O/U 64.5 | 2% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -16.5 | 1% |
| Spread -17.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 49ers 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: 49ers vs. Falcons. In the upcoming NFL football game between 49ers and Falcons, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "49ers" if 49ers win the game. This market will resolve to "Falcons" if …
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.6M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: 49ers vs. Falcons über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wetten Prognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
Jetzt „Prognose: 49ers vs. Falcons" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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