Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
79% | 21% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
79% | 21% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Clippers O/U 98.5 | 79% |
| Lakers O/U 108.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 77% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| Spread -2.5 | 72% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 48.5 | 71% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 53.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5 | 64% |
| Clippers O/U 104.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 62% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 50.5 | 61% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 55.5 | 60% |
| Lakers O/U 114.5 | 60% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 222.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 56% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 52.5 | 52% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 52% |
| O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 51% |
| Clippers O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 103.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Clippers O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Lakers O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 49% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| O/U 226.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| O/U 227.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| O/U 228.5 | 45% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 43% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| O/U 229.5 | 43% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 59.5 | 43% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 42% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| O/U 231.5 | 40% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 54.5 | 40% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -12.5 | 38% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 37% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| O/U 233.5 | 36% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 36% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 234.5 | 33% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 33% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 32% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 32% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 56.5 | 31% |
| Spread -15.5 | 30% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Clippers O/U 114.5 | 30% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| O/U 236.5 | 28% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 25.5 | 28% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| 1H Moneyline | 28% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| Lakers O/U 124.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 27% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5 | 26% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 26% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| O/U 238.5 | 25% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | 24% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 24% |
| Spread -18.5 | 23% |
| O/U 239.5 | 23% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 23% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| O/U 241.5 | 22% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 20% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 20% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Clippers O/U 118.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Lakers O/U 128.5 | 18% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 17% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 244.5 | 16% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| O/U 247.5 | 14% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| O/U 250.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
Markt-Kontext
Clippers vs. Lakers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 24% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T02:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $145K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wetten Prognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
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