Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 30.5 | 96% |
| Ravens O/U 10.5 | 96% |
| O/U 31.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 95% |
| O/U 33.5 | 94% |
| O/U 32.5 | 94% |
| O/U 34.5 | 93% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Cowboys O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 36.5 | 91% |
| O/U 24.5 | 90% |
| O/U 37.5 | 87% |
| O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| O/U 38.5 | 86% |
| O/U 40.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 81% |
| O/U 41.5 | 80% |
| O/U 42.5 | 79% |
| Ravens O/U 20.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 74% |
| O/U 44.5 | 72% |
| O/U 45.5 | 69% |
| O/U 46.5 | 68% |
| Cowboys O/U 20.5 | 66% |
| O/U 47.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 64% |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| O/U 48.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 49.5 | 59% |
| 1H Moneyline | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| O/U 50.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 56% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| O/U 51.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Ravens O/U 27.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 52% |
| O/U 52.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Ravens O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys O/U 26.5 | 51% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Ravens by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cowboys by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Ravens Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ravens Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Ravens O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ravens 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Cowboys 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 49% |
| O/U 53.5 | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| O/U 55.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 40% |
| Spread -6.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| O/U 56.5 | 39% |
| O/U 57.5 | 37% |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| O/U 58.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 59.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 61.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 62.5 | 24% |
| O/U 63.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| O/U 65.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| O/U 67.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 71.5 | 9% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 96% Chance für prognose: ravens vs. cowboys. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:25PM ET: If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If Cowboys wins, the market will resolve to "Cowboys". If th…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $134K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wetten Prognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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