Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wetten Prognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Zum Live-Markt → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Zum Live-Markt → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Zum Live-Markt → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Zum Live-Markt → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Zum Live-Markt → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Lions O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Lions 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 36.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 99% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 99% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 99% |
| O/U 32.5 | 98% |
| O/U 34.5 | 98% |
| O/U 38.5 | 97% |
| Lions vs. Cardinals | 96% |
| O/U 40.5 | 96% |
| Spread -1.5 | 96% |
| Spread -2.5 | 95% |
| O/U 42.5 | 93% |
| Spread -3.5 | 91% |
| Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| Spread -5.5 | 89% |
| O/U 44.5 | 88% |
| Spread -6.5 | 87% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 87% |
| Cardinals O/U 10.5 | 87% |
| O/U 46.5 | 85% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 85% |
| Spread -7.5 | 83% |
| Spread -8.5 | 82% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| Spread -9.5 | 79% |
| O/U 48.5 | 78% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 76% |
| Spread -10.5 | 75% |
| O/U 50.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Cardinals O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| Spread -13.5 | 68% |
| Cardinals O/U 16.5 | 68% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 65% |
| O/U 52.5 | 64% |
| Spread -14.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 61% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 60% |
| O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 58% |
| Spread -16.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Lions 2H O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Lions O/U 30.5 | 55% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 53% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 20.5 | 51% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 13-18 | 51% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Lions O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Lions 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Lions by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Cardinals by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Lions Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Cardinals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| Spread -19.5 | 47% |
| Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 47% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| Cardinals O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Cardinals O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Cardinals O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| Lions 2H O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| Lions vs. Cardinals: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -19.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 39% |
| Spread -20.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| Spread -21.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 29% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Cardinals O/U 23.5 | 26% |
| Cardinals O/U 26.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| O/U 62.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| O/U 64.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 17% |
| O/U 66.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| O/U 68.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 4% |
| Spread -2.5 | 3% |
| Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| Spread -8.5 | 1% |
| Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 1% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 10.5 | 1% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 12.5 | 1% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 13.5 | 1% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 16.5 | 1% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 19.5 | 1% |
| Cardinals 1H O/U 20.5 | 1% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Lions vs. Cardinals — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 100%. In the upcoming NFL football game between Lions and Cardinals, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Lions" if Lions win the game. This market will resolve to "Cardinals"…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.5M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: Lions vs. Cardinals über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Wetten Prognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wetten Prognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wetten Prognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Lions vs. Cardinals" auf Wetten Prognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
Live-Markt öffnen →